Daniel Simões is an independent macro-narrative FX trader focused on anticipating market direction from monetary policy, geopolitics and yield dynamics.
His approach begins with the macro story, connecting central bank regimes, structural catalysts and positioning asymmetry and only then translating that into execution in FX markets.
Operating globally, he brings a forward-looking view of the world where price is a consequence, not a starting point.
The macro regime precedes price.
My approach starts with central bank policy, yield dynamics and global capital flows, the structural foundation behind every sustained FX movement. Instead of reacting to volatility, I track how Treasuries, sovereign curves, geopolitics and liquidity cycles redefine the narrative ahead of price.
When the macro story and price are aligned, the opportunity is already gone.
Edge emerges before the market transitions, when fundamentals signal a shift, but positioning still reflects the past.
Weekly Trading Insights
A curated selection of macro FX insights, highlighting forward-looking narratives,
monetary policy transitions and opportunities before they reach price.
Disponível também em versão em português.
Grandes operações & Narrativas de mercado
Seleção de operações em câmbio e macro que marcaram a jornada da Simoes Capital, com foco em como a narrativa, a política monetária e o fluxo se alinham antes dos grandes movimentos de preço.
Cada texto explora o contexto, o raciocínio e as principais lições extraídas de operações reais, para quem quer enxergar além do gráfico e entender o que sustentou a ideia por trás do trade.
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Professional inquiries only.
Opportunities for collaboration or capital engagement are evaluated based on strategic alignment with the macro vision and trading framework.
Access is limited and subject to availability.
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